UN report: breaching the 1.5 °C warming threshold is inevitable, world heading for 2.6–2.8 °C
The annual UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2026 concludes that exceeding the 1.5 °C warming limit has become 'inevitable' due to decades of insufficient action. Under current policies, warming will reach 2.8 °C; with all pledges fulfilled, 2.6 °C. For a scenario peaking at 1.7–1.8 °C, emissions must be cut by 18% by 2030 and 69% by 2040. The forecast worsened partly because of the US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement and a 133-megatonne rise in its emissions.
Javlon Tursunov















