According to CBS News, the suspended US Army chief of staff General Randy George warned in late December of critically low stocks of THAAD and Patriot interceptors, whose replenishment could take until 2030. The Pentagon denies ammunition shortages.
The Institute for the Study of War reported Iranian attacks on at least 24 commercial vessels near the Strait of Hormuz over two weeks. The aircraft carriers George Washington and George HW Bush are operating in the Arabian Sea, the US is reinforcing its grouping, and Iranian military officials warn of readiness for large-scale operations.
A missile strike on Al-Mashiq palace in the Yemeni port city of Aden killed five people and wounded 16, most of them security personnel. The Houthis said the target was the headquarters of Saudi military exercises. Yemen's prime minister condemned the attack and assured that operations against the Houthis will continue.
A Hamburg court found two men guilty of espionage and attempted murder: according to the prosecution, they acted on behalf of Iran's Quds Force special unit. The sentences are 4.5 and 8.5 years in prison. Among the targets were Josef Schuster, head of the Central Council of Jews in Germany, and politician Volker Beck.
According to BBC Verify analysis based on reports from the UK maritime trade agency UKMTO, 12 ships were attacked between 5 and 11 October — the most since the start of the US and Israel war with Iran. Experts link this to Tehran's attempts to regain control over the strait amid a rise in US-escorted convoys. Oil flow through the strait fell from 15 to 12.6 million barrels per day.
An oil tanker caught fire in the Gulf of Oman, east of the Strait of Hormuz, after entering, according to the Iranian Navy, a restricted zone declared by Tehran with its tracking systems switched off. This is the second such incident in 24 hours. The incidents followed the sinking of the container ship GFS Pride and the cargo vessel Cape Dao; the causes of the ships' loss are assessed differently by the IRGC and maritime sources.
On October 14 in Brussels, an official spokesperson of the European Commission said that the coming winter season could be very difficult and that there is a possibility of an energy shortage in Europe. According to DW, fuel supply disruptions are linked to production problems after the start of the war by the US and Israel against Iran: in September, diesel exports from the Middle East and Russia fell by a combined 1.3 million barrels per day. IEA member countries are coordinating the release of 100 million barrels of oil and diesel onto the market from strategic reserves.
US President Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social that he does not believe China and Russia are helping Iran, and that if any help exists, it is at a very low level and will soon become known. Beijing previously condemned US military actions against Iran, while Moscow warned of the threat of the conflict expanding.
According to the Israeli TV channel N12 and Axios, over the past two weeks Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu have discussed the possibility of joint strikes on Iran several times due to concerns about the restoration of its nuclear program. Trump has not made a final decision: part of his circle favors military action, while most advisers favor sanctions. The US and Israeli militaries are on heightened readiness.
Azerbaijan hosted the seventh CICA summit in Baku, bringing together leaders and delegations of conflicting states — Israel, Iran, Qatar, the UAE, Turkey, Russia, Palestine and Asian countries. Israeli President Isaac Herzog held meetings with Aliyev and Bahrain's foreign minister; a number of delegations walked out during his address. The Baku Declaration was adopted, Azerbaijan's chairmanship extended for 2026–2028, and Laos became a full member. Azerbaijan hosted the seventh CICA summit in Baku, bringing together leaders and delegations from conflicting states including Israel, Iran, Qatar, UAE, Turkey, Russia, Palestine, and Asian nations. Israeli President Isaac Herzog held meetings with President Aliyev and the Bahraini Foreign Minister; several delegations left the hall during his speech. The Baku Declaration was adopted, Azerbaijan's chairmanship extended for 2026–2028, and Laos became a full member.
Iran has executed Ali-Sina Mostafavi, accused of armed attacks in Kerman during the American-Israeli strikes, and 25-year-old Omar Dorastaran, whom the court called a member of the Sunni group 'Jaysh al-Adl'. Human rights activists and the opposition dispute the legality of the trials.
Oil prices rose in morning trading on Wednesday following Reuters reports of Iran attacking two vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent surpassed $107 per barrel, WTI reached $94.64. The Houthi-Saudi Arabia conflict added supply risks: an attack on an Aramco building caused a 'limited fire', and debris from intercepted rockets injured four people in Riyadh. European TTF gas futures hit a four-year high, European indices opened higher, and Asian trading was mixed.
TTF futures rose to €87.20 per MWh amid the Middle East conflict and low gas storage levels in the EU. According to HEPI, household tariffs in European capitals differ markedly: the most expensive electricity is in Brussels, the most expensive gas is in Stockholm. Adjusted for purchasing power, Bucharest and Stockholm lead.
Speaking at the opening of the annual Shura session in Doha, Qatar's Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani said Qatar was attacked by Iran, pledged to defend sovereignty while avoiding a wider war, and presented a strategy of accelerated economic diversification. Oil and gas revenues fell 42% in the first half of the year, but the non-oil sector accounts for about 80% of real GDP. Qatar will continue expanding LNG production and maintain its mediation role in the region.
MI5 director Ken McCallum said in his annual speech that Russia remains the 'aggressor number one' and is waging hybrid warfare against Europe while staying below NATO's Article 5 threshold. He also reported more than 50 arrests in Iran-related cases and an incident at RAF Fairford, which Prime Minister Andy Burnham linked to the IRGC.