News about polls: events, facts and developments on tafs uz.
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Two independent polls by Datafolha and Quaest, published on Saturday, give Flávio Bolsonaro 51% against 49% for incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. The gap falls within the margin of error, meaning a statistical tie. The runoff takes place on Sunday.
Otabek YusupovSelf-proclaimed American firm Wedgewood Polls admitted that the 'majority' of its polls were made up, saying it was an experiment. Fake data made it into aggregators and The New York Times and, according to Michigan Senate candidate Mallory McMorrow, harmed her campaign. This is the second such scandal ahead of the midterms: in August, Median Strategies admitted fabrication, and aggregator FiftyPlusOne also raised doubts about SoCal Strategies. Experts warn that AI makes fabricating fake polls easier.
Javlon TursunovPolls show that neither Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc nor Gadi Eisenkot's bloc has a majority in the Knesset. Averaging three polls by leading Israeli pollsters, Eisenkot has 52 seats — one more than Netanyahu. Right-wing channels give different figures: Channel 14 projects a one-seat lead for the Netanyahu bloc. The outcome may be decided by Arab parties, as well as external factors — tensions with Iran and Trump's support.
Javlon TursunovDays before Brazil's presidential runoff on October 25, incumbent left-wing president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and right-wing populist Flavio Bolsonaro are polling virtually even: PoderData gives both 50%. The campaign is taking place amid deep polarization, a corruption scandal surrounding Banco Master, and preparations for decisive TV debates on Globo.
Sevara AzamovaAccording to an NBC News poll, 71% of Americans believe the country is heading in the wrong direction — the highest figure of Trump's second term. The president's approval has dropped to 34%, while 51% strongly disapprove of his performance. Among registered voters, 55% prefer Democrats in Congress versus 45% for Republicans — one week before the midterm elections on November 3.
Otabek YusupovAccording to a CNT/MDA poll, Senator Flavio Bolsonaro holds 46.8% against 45.9% for incumbent President Lula da Silva ahead of the October 25 runoff. Counting valid votes only, Bolsonaro leads 50.5% to 49.5%. Datafolha also registers a narrowing of the gap to two points. Congress approved a constitutional amendment abolishing the six-day workweek — a campaign promise of Lula's.
Aziz Karimov
